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Shoe Price Increases Accelerated in January — And With Trump’s Tariffs, The Hikes Might Just Be Beginning

Last month, retail footwear prices increased 1.0 percent from a year ago, the most in six months.

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Last month, retail footwear prices increased 1.0 percent from a year ago, the most in six months.

Shoe prices began to rise in January after ending 2024 with modest movement, according to the latest data from the Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America (FDRA).

Last month, retail footwear prices increased 1 percent from a year ago, the most in six months, the FDRA noted. This came as prices rose year-over-year across all three target markets. Prices for children’s shoes were up 0.1 percent, men’s increased 1.1 percent and women’s footwear climbed 1.2 percent in January.

In fact, the FDRA said that children’s footwear prices rose for the fourth straight month, men’s footwear prices climbed eleven of the last twelve months, and women’s footwear prices expanded the most in seven months.

“The acceleration in retail footwear prices came as overall inflation sped up and duties paid on footwear imports grew at double-digit year-over-year rates for the fourth straight month,” Gary Raines, chief economist at FDRA, told FN. “The long-term co-movement between trends in duties paid on footwear imports and retail footwear prices is well established.”

This latest increase in shoe prices is just the beginning if President Trump’s heightened tariffs on China remain in place. As for when these increases may hit consumers, FDRA president and chief executive officer Matt Priest told FN last week that they could come as soon as back-to-school.

“If you think about orders being placed and the need to bring in more product for back-to-school, I can envision that’s when these increases may occur,” Priest said. “The other problem is that tariffs are being added on everything from China, so there is a broader concern about disposable income for working families. Their budgets are already stretched, so to add this extra layer it is going to cost more for families with less discretionary income when they look to buy things like footwear.”

But for now, Raines added that action needs to be taken to mitigate further increases. “As inflation and footwear prices reaccelerate, now is not the time for the new administration to impose even higher duties on America’s largest footwear suppliers, saddling consumers with even higher prices,” Raines said.

January’s movement in footwear prices comes at the same time the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that overall inflation accelerated for the fourth straight month.

The bureau’s latest Consumer Price Index (CPI), a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, saw prices increase 0.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in January, after rising 0.4 percent in December. Prices were also up 3.0 percent over the last 12 months, the fastest in eight months.

Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the core CPI rose 0.4 percent in January and increased 3.3 percent over the same time last year.

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Footwear Prices in June Drop for the First Time in Over Two Years as Back-to-School Season Approaches

Sale red signs at retail store
Sale red signs at retail store

Inflation in June rose at slowing rate, and footwear retail prices saw a decrease for the first time in more than two years.

Consumer prices rose 3 percent in June compared to last year, according to the latest Consumer Price Index released on Wednesday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This marks the smallest 12-month increase since the period ending March 2021 and a slowdown from May’s 4 percent growth and April’s 4.9 percent. Compared to May 2023, prices in June rose 0.2 percent.

Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the Core CPI rose 0.2 percent from May and 4.8 percent from the same month in 2022.

The progress comes as retailers gear up for the 2023 back-to-school season, which is likely to be characterized by shoppers looking for the best deals. KPMG’s 2023 Consumer Back to School survey found that shoppers plan to spend on average about $377 per kid this season, which is up 21 percent from a year ago. More than 60 percent of respondents report being concerned about inflation, with 70 percent of them looking for early discounts and 57 percent looking for cheaper brands.

Retail footwear prices dropped 0.9 in June compared to the prior year, marking the first time prices dropped in 26 months. Women’s footwear prices dropped 0.2 percent and men’s declined 1.6 percent. Just in time for back-to-school, children’s footwear prices dropped 0.8 percent.

According to the Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America (FDRA), year-to-date footwear prices are up just 0.2 percent and are expected to decline year-over-year through the second half of 2023. In April, FDRA noted a large gap between import costs and retail prices, which FDRA predicted would level out.

“With retail footwear prices certainly not likely to go sharply higher, we continue to look for these import costs to remain soft well through 2023, narrowing this gap even further,” Gary Raines, chief economist at FDRA, told FN.

Online prices in June also fell 2.6 percent year-over-year, according to data from Adobe on Tuesday. This marked the biggest drop since since May 2020 when prices fell 1.5% year over year. Compared the May, online prices fell 1.3 percent in June.

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