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Footwear Prices in June Drop for the First Time in Over Two Years as Back-to-School Season Approaches

Sale red signs at retail store
Sale red signs at retail store

Inflation in June rose at slowing rate, and footwear retail prices saw a decrease for the first time in more than two years.

Consumer prices rose 3 percent in June compared to last year, according to the latest Consumer Price Index released on Wednesday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This marks the smallest 12-month increase since the period ending March 2021 and a slowdown from May’s 4 percent growth and April’s 4.9 percent. Compared to May 2023, prices in June rose 0.2 percent.

Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the Core CPI rose 0.2 percent from May and 4.8 percent from the same month in 2022.

The progress comes as retailers gear up for the 2023 back-to-school season, which is likely to be characterized by shoppers looking for the best deals. KPMG’s 2023 Consumer Back to School survey found that shoppers plan to spend on average about $377 per kid this season, which is up 21 percent from a year ago. More than 60 percent of respondents report being concerned about inflation, with 70 percent of them looking for early discounts and 57 percent looking for cheaper brands.

Retail footwear prices dropped 0.9 in June compared to the prior year, marking the first time prices dropped in 26 months. Women’s footwear prices dropped 0.2 percent and men’s declined 1.6 percent. Just in time for back-to-school, children’s footwear prices dropped 0.8 percent.

According to the Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America (FDRA), year-to-date footwear prices are up just 0.2 percent and are expected to decline year-over-year through the second half of 2023. In April, FDRA noted a large gap between import costs and retail prices, which FDRA predicted would level out.

“With retail footwear prices certainly not likely to go sharply higher, we continue to look for these import costs to remain soft well through 2023, narrowing this gap even further,” Gary Raines, chief economist at FDRA, told FN.

Online prices in June also fell 2.6 percent year-over-year, according to data from Adobe on Tuesday. This marked the biggest drop since since May 2020 when prices fell 1.5% year over year. Compared the May, online prices fell 1.3 percent in June.

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Keen footwear lowers its prices

Keen footwear lowers its prices
The Oregon-based footwear company is lowering its prices to give some relief to consumers in this inflationary environment
“On average, we are bringing prices down by 5% across the board. We believe we are doing the right thing to help people in this inflationary environment. We want people to continue to enjoy the outdoors and be able to go to work with safe shoes”, said John Evons, president of Keen, in an interview with CNN. Usually, its portfolio of products ranges between 36 US dollars for children’s shoes and 250 US dollars for adults.
The company explained to Footwear News that this price decrease is possible because it owns 40% of its supply chain, including sourcing, factories and distribution centres. So, with the supply chain stabilizing in the US, Keen was able “pass along the savings” and reduce prices for its customers.
“Most brands are reacting to consumers pulling back by offering increased promotions and not bringing the original product price down. This is unique, and it will be interesting to see if other companies follow suit”, commented Beth Goldstein, footwear and accessories analyst at the market research Circana, to CNN.
According to a survey conducted in January by Circana, 56% of consumers delayed or skipped a footwear purchase or chose a less expensive option in the past six months due to price increases on either footwear or other goods. In addition, households with children were reducing footwear spending more than those without children. Although price increases have been slowing steadily, in general, and for footwear too, prices are still higher than usual in several categories.
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06/21
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Average footwear prices expected to increase

Average footwear prices expected to increase

In the latest edition of the World Footwear Business Conditions Survey, our panel members predicted an increase of 7.3% in footwear prices over the next six months. Get free access to the report with the main conclusions
The latest statistics on international trade in 2022 indicate apositive trend in global footwear importsduring the second half of the year. Despite the uncertain evolution of the global macroeconomic scenario, the economic growth forecasts are optimistic.
2023
06/21
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